Advanced Drainage Valuation

WMS Stock  USD 152.04  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Advanced Drainage Systems shows a prevailing Real Value of $156.08 per share. The current price of the firm is $152.04. Our model approximates the value of Advanced Drainage Systems from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.15 %, return on equity of 0.28, and Current Valuation of 12.53 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Advanced Drainage's valuation include:
Price Book
6.2419
Enterprise Value
12.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
13.9311
Price Sales
3.9146
Forward PE
22.6757
Fairly Valued
Today
152.04
Please note that Advanced Drainage's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Advanced Drainage Systems is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Advanced Drainage's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Advanced stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Advanced Drainage Systems. Since Advanced Drainage is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Advanced Stock. However, Advanced Drainage's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  152.04 Real  156.08 Target  175.9 Hype  153.22 Naive  147.79
The intrinsic value of Advanced Drainage's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Advanced Drainage's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
137.90
Downside
156.08
Real Value
158.00
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Advanced Drainage Systems helps investors to forecast how Advanced stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Advanced Drainage more accurately as focusing exclusively on Advanced Drainage's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.541.611.67
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
151.30153.22155.14
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.440.440.44
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
160.07175.90195.25
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Advanced Drainage's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Advanced Drainage's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Advanced Drainage's closest peers.

Advanced Drainage Cash

559.46 Million

Advanced Revenue by Product

Advanced Drainage Total Value Analysis

Advanced Drainage Systems is at this time expected to have company total value of 12.53 B with market capitalization of 11.69 B, debt of 1.45 B, and cash on hands of 463.7 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Advanced Drainage fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
12.53 B
11.69 B
1.45 B
463.7 M

Advanced Drainage Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.34. Advanced Drainage Systems recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.85. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the June 15, 2007. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Advanced Drainage's historical financial statements, Advanced Drainage Systems may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities702.2 M668.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Advanced Drainage Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Advanced Drainage has an asset utilization ratio of 78.7 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.79 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Advanced Drainage Systems is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Advanced Drainage Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Advanced Drainage's financial statements, Advanced Drainage Systems is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Advanced Drainage's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2012-03-31
Previous Quarter
143.9 M
Current Value
156 M
Quarterly Volatility
67.5 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Advanced Drainage's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.19 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.21 in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.210.34
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For Advanced Drainage profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Advanced Drainage Systems to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Advanced Drainage utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Advanced Drainage's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Advanced Drainage over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Advanced Drainage Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Advanced Drainage is estimated to be 1.61155 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.5375 to a high of 1.669975. Advanced Drainage's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 5.85. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Advanced Drainage Systems is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Advanced Drainage is projected to generate 1.61155 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2027. Advanced Drainage earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Advanced Drainage EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Advanced Drainage's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Advanced Drainage, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Advanced Drainage Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Advanced Drainage's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Advanced Drainage is estimated to be 1.61155 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.5375 to a high of 1.669975. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Advanced Drainage Systems is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.54
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.61155
1.67
Highest

Advanced Drainage Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Advanced Drainage's value are higher than the current market price of the Advanced Drainage stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Advanced Drainage is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Advanced Drainage's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2027Current EPS (TTM)
1080.62%
0.0
1.61155
5.85

Advanced Drainage Ownership Allocation

Advanced Drainage holds a total of 77.76 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Advanced Drainage Systems outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Advanced Drainage Systems to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Advanced Drainage. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Advanced Drainage Systems as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly five million one hundred eighty-six thousand eight hundred ninety-one invesors are currently shorting Advanced Drainage expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Advanced Drainage Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.9 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 452.57 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.14 B.

Advanced Drainage Past Distributions to stockholders

About Advanced Drainage Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Advanced Drainage's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Advanced Drainage Systems based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Advanced Drainage. We calculate exposure to Advanced Drainage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Advanced Drainage's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.3 B1.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.21 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.21 
Advanced Drainage's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Advanced Drainage's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Advanced Drainage can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Advanced Drainage represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Advanced, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Advanced Drainage Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is likely to drop to about 36.6 M in 2026. Dividend Yield is likely to drop to 0.01 in 2026. At this time, Advanced Drainage's Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to gain to about 756.2 M in 2026, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 20.45 in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid57.2 M36.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.13  0.12 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.99  1.65 
There are various types of dividends Advanced Drainage can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Advanced shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Advanced Drainage Systems directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Advanced pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Advanced Drainage by the value of the dividends paid out.

Advanced Drainage Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Advanced Drainage does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.192
Forward Price Earnings22.6757

Advanced Drainage Current Valuation Indicators

Advanced Drainage's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Advanced Drainage's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Advanced Drainage, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Advanced Drainage's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Advanced Drainage's worth.

Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis

When running Advanced Drainage's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Drainage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Drainage is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Drainage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Drainage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Drainage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Drainage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.